Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.013722 0.015407 0.017113 0.018963 0.020906 0.022883 0.025041
2025-05-11 0.010620 0.013228 0.015992 0.019110 0.022503 0.026059 0.030047
2025-05-18 0.008578 0.011655 0.015039 0.018970 0.023353 0.028038 0.033381
2025-05-25 0.006872 0.010202 0.014001 0.018534 0.023696 0.029306 0.035791
2025-06-01 0.005629 0.009128 0.013261 0.018313 0.024170 0.030624 0.038166
2025-06-08 0.004544 0.008114 0.012488 0.017963 0.024420 0.031626 0.040128
2025-06-15 0.003808 0.007457 0.012078 0.017983 0.025047 0.033010 0.042480
2025-06-22 0.003022 0.006634 0.011394 0.017617 0.025176 0.033788 0.044111
2025-06-29 0.002258 0.005734 0.010536 0.016980 0.024937 0.034104 0.045183
2025-07-06 0.001553 0.004796 0.009550 0.016121 0.024382 0.034014 0.045755
2025-07-13 0.001299 0.004546 0.009478 0.016408 0.025204 0.035524 0.048158
2025-07-20 0.000965 0.004087 0.009074 0.016236 0.025442 0.036328 0.049730
2025-07-27 0.000605 0.003504 0.008492 0.015869 0.025508 0.037018 0.051287
2025-08-03 0.000403 0.003184 0.008288 0.016016 0.026237 0.038533 0.053852
2025-08-10 0.000215 0.002779 0.007906 0.015888 0.026593 0.039580 0.055849
2025-08-17 0.000069 0.002309 0.007357 0.015489 0.026576 0.040154 0.057271
2025-08-24 0.000009 0.001961 0.006966 0.015287 0.026794 0.040999 0.059000
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001609 0.006516 0.014966 0.026836 0.041612 0.060440
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001402 0.006306 0.014985 0.027314 0.042757 0.062508
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001114 0.005881 0.014651 0.027302 0.043279 0.063817
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000803 0.005321 0.014070 0.026933 0.043336 0.064549
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000502 0.004667 0.013288 0.026258 0.042984 0.064766
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000445 0.004653 0.013549 0.027024 0.044461 0.067213